Shaping, not predicting, the future of students
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by Anthony Mann Senior Analyst, Directorate for Education and Skills Footballer Cristiano Ronaldo is reputed to have once said that there’s no point making predictions because nothing is set in stone. It is hard to predict the future, but in education policy at least it is not altogether impossible. We know, for example, from data accumulated over many years that people who exhibited certain attributes when young are more likely (sometimes very much more likely) to do better in work as adults. They are much more likely to find work after leaving school or university and to earn more than people who are otherwise just like them. Studies have shown, for example, that youngsters can expect to do better in work as adults if they read well at 10 or gain higher levels of qualifications . We know as well, not least from recent OECD studies , that the children of wealthier parents routinely do better than their classmates from poorer backgrounds, even if they show the same academic promi...